This Could Actually Ruin The Solar Eclipse…
Ryan Hall, Y'all
8 min, 10 sec
The video provides a forecast for the cloud cover during the 2024 Total Solar Eclipse across North America.
Summary
- The eclipse is a highly anticipated event, with many planning to experience it in person.
- The video emphasizes the importance of cloud cover predictions, since clouds can obstruct the view of the eclipse.
- Historical climatology data and current forecast models are analyzed to predict cloud cover for April 8th.
- A preliminary cloud cover forecast map is presented, indicating areas with high, moderate, and low chances of overcast skies.
Chapter 1
The video introduces the significance and anticipation of the 2024 Total Solar Eclipse.
- The 2024 Total Solar Eclipse is expected to be breathtaking, crossing over a dozen states from Texas to Maine.
- The eclipse will have a wider path of totality and will last longer than usual.
- Many people are planning to travel to experience the event.
Chapter 2
The video discusses the impact of cloud cover on viewing conditions for the eclipse.
- Cloud cover is crucial as a single cloud can block the view of the eclipse.
- Climatology data suggests that certain areas are more likely to be cloudy during early April.
- Spring weather in the US is characterized by cloud cover and rain due to the clash of warm and cool air.
Chapter 3
Historical data is used to estimate cloud cover for the eclipse day.
- Data from the last 50 years indicates that cloud cover is common over the eclipse path, particularly in the Northeast and Ohio Valley.
- Missouri, Ohio, and New York are typically more cloudy in early April, while Dallas and Southwest Texas tend to be sunnier.
Chapter 4
The video examines forecast models to predict the weather patterns on the day of the eclipse.
- The GFS model shows a storm system leading up to April 8th, potentially affecting cloud cover.
- The pattern of storm systems in April suggests a likelihood of clouds across the path of totality.
- The Euro model is less aggressive but still indicates a chance of clouds and rain due to a trough moving in.
Chapter 5
A preliminary forecast is presented, and the video's sponsor, Brilliant.org, is introduced.
- Red zones indicate the highest probability of overcast skies, while green zones have the highest probability of clear skies.
- Yellow zones are unpredictable, with some areas possibly being cloudy, sunny, or mostly clear.
- Brilliant.org is presented as the sponsor, offering interactive learning in math, data science, and computer science.