Why India’s Current Account Deficit has Dipped to 1% of GDP? | UPSC GS3
StudyIQ IAS
13 min, 54 sec
The video explains the concept of the current account deficit (CAD), its recent trends in India, and the strategies to improve the negative balance of payments.
Summary
- The presenter explains the significance of CAD as an indicator of a country's external sector strength and its recent decline in India to 1% of GDP.
- The financial year's second quarter (July-September) is discussed, highlighting India's success in reducing the deficit.
- A detailed explanation of the balance of payments, the difference between current and capital accounts, and the factors contributing to deficits and surpluses is provided.
- The reduction in merchandise trade deficit and increase in services surplus, including remittances, has contributed to the CAD decline.
- Future expectations and potential measures to manage a negative balance of payments are also discussed.
Chapter 1
The video begins with an introduction to the concept of the current account deficit and its importance.
- The presenter introduces the topic of the current account deficit and its relevance to a country's external sector strength.
- The focus is on the current financial year in India and how the CAD has recently decreased.
Chapter 2
The presenter discusses India's current financial year and the status of the CAD for the second quarter.
- India's financial year starts in April, and the second quarter comprises July, August, and September.
- The CAD has decreased to 1% of GDP during this period, indicating successful containment of dollar outflow.
Chapter 3
The balance of payments is broken down into current and capital accounts, and the presenter explains their roles.
- The balance of payments includes two main components: the current account and the capital account.
- The presenter simplifies the concept, outlining how the movement of dollars in and out of the country is recorded.
Chapter 4
The presenter delves into the components of the current account, detailing visible and invisible trade items.
- The current account comprises visible and invisible items, including goods and services.
- India's trade in services often results in a surplus, while merchandise trade typically shows a deficit.
Chapter 5
The significance of India's current account deficit reduction is highlighted, comparing it to previous years.
- The presenter compares the current CAD to past figures, illustrating a significant reduction.
- The reduction in CAD is seen as a positive development for India's economy.
Chapter 6
The factors influencing the CAD and their broader impact on the Indian economy are outlined.
- Merchandise trade, services surplus, and remittances are key factors influencing the CAD.
- A lower CAD positively affects foreign exchange reserves and the overall economic stability.
Chapter 7
The presenter discusses future expectations for India's CAD and the potential impact of global factors.
- There is speculation that the CAD might increase in the next quarter, influenced by global economic factors.
- Long-term expectations are that India's CAD will remain around 1 to 1.5% of GDP.
Chapter 8
The video concludes with a summary of the topics covered and their implications for India's economy.
- The presenter concludes by summarizing the importance of the reduction in CAD.
- A final question is posed to the audience about measures to improve a negative balance of payments.
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